由外交学院与欧盟安全问题研究所共同主办的“全球趋势2030国际学术研讨会”在京举行，会上发布了《全球发展趋势2030——相互联系的多中心世界中的公民》研究报告。QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
会议由欧盟驻华使团副团长德-拉萨拉和外交学院副院长朱立群共同主持。来自欧盟驻华使团、意大利驻华使馆、欧盟安全问题研究所、中国现代国际关系研究院、中国社会科学院、北京大学、人民大学、国际关系学院、外交学院等多所政府机关和知名学术机构的代表参加了此次会议，就未来二十年国际形势的发展趋势及其对中欧关系的影响进行探讨。QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
欧盟安全研究所主任lvaro de VaSConcelos表示，《全球发展趋势2030》报告并没有描绘出一个直观的2030年的世界，而是描述了当今社会可能塑造2030年的世界的三大发展趋势，政策制定者们可以根据这些趋势调整政策。如果能把握这些趋势进行有效的应对，就能影响2030年世界的局势。QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
VaSConcelos指出，第一大趋势是个人获得赋能，全球中产阶级将强势崛起，到2030年，80%至85%的中国人将成为中产阶级。50%的人口将使用互联网，女性能力越来越强。人们的价值观逐渐趋同，人们认定自己是世界的一份子。同时，中产阶级的需求越来越高，没有一个国家的政府能够满足他们，从而产生期待值差距。另外，欧美发达国家的中产阶级担心中国和巴西等国中产阶级崛起会影响其主导地位，伴随着中产阶级对政治参与的需求，可能导致民族主义与民粹主义。QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
第二大趋势是，资源的稀缺、持续的贫困，以及环境问题等对可持续发展提出了更高的要求。在未来20年，五大因素将影响世界经济体系：发展中国家的经济发展，世界经济重心向亚洲和拉美转移，人口问题——西方和东亚的老龄化问题以及非洲和东南亚的人口膨胀问题，提升农业和服务业的产值、促进贸易，向绿色经济转型。QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
第三大趋势是，世界更加多元化，权力不再集中于某一个大国，而是呈现更加分散的趋势。美国、欧盟、中国、印度、巴西等发挥重要影响但并非绝对影响，中等国家、非国家行为体、城市等发挥十分重要的作用，从而对全球治理提出挑战。各国政府必须调整政策以应对这些趋势，在制定政策时必须更具包容性。QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
欧盟驻华使团副团长德-拉萨拉评价该报告称，中欧关系发展到今天，就广泛合作达成了共识，但是二者也在努力缩减差异和分歧，这时非常需要加强理解。报告讨论了未来的发展趋势以及趋势对中欧关系的影响，非常及时、非常重要。她坚信，中欧关系在未来仍然会对全球局势产生重大影响，因此，分析中欧关系并理解其对全球格局的影响非常重要。QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
外交学院副院长朱立群表示，报告对今后二十年的发展趋势进行探讨，对中欧关系和世界局势都具有重要影响。中国和欧洲是世界上两个最重要的力量，二者如何应对新的发展变化，加强政策协调、深化合作，这对国际秩序建设有深远影响。QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
欧盟安全研究所是欧盟理事会对外政策高级代表直接领导下的重要思想库，该所在欧洲安全战略与国际安全领域的研究在世界上享有较高的地位。QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
People, Beijing, May 26, the afternoon of May 25, co-sponsored by the Foreign Service Institute and the European Union Institute for Security Studies, "Global Trends 2030 International Symposium" held in Beijing, it was released for the global development trends in 2030 - mutual contact multi-center world citizen "research report.QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
Co-chaired by the European Union Embassy Deputy Chief of Mission Germany - La Sala, and Foreign Associate Dean Zhu Liqun. From the EU diplomatic missions, the Italian Embassy in China, the European Union Institute for Security Studies, the China Contemporary International Relations Institute, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Peking University, Renmin University, Institute of International Relations, Foreign Affairs College and other government agencies and leading academic organizations attended the meeting, to discuss development trends on the international situation over the next two decades and its impact on China-EU relations.QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
Director lvaro de VaSConcelos, of the European Union Institute for Security Studies, said the global development trends 2030 report does not depict an intuitive world of 2030, but describes the three major trends in today's society may shape the world of 2030, policy makers policy can be adjusted based on these trends. If you can grasp these trends for effective response, can affect the situation in the world 2030.QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
VaSConcelos pointed out that the first trend is enabling individuals to obtain, the global middle class will be a strong rise in 2030, 80-85% of the Chinese people will become middle class. 50% of the population will use the Internet, the growing ability of women. People's values gradually converging, that he is part of the world. At the same time, the needs of the middle class is getting higher and higher, no government of a country to meet their resulting expectations gap. In addition, the middle class of developed countries in Europe and the United States worried that the middle class, the rise of China and Brazil and other countries will affect the dominant position, along with middle-class demand for political participation, it may lead to nationalism and populism.QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
The second trend is a higher demand, the scarcity of resources, persistent poverty, and environmental issues for sustainable development. In the next 20 years, five factors will affect the world economy: the economic development of developing countries, the world's economic center of gravity to Asia and Latin America to transfer the population problem - the West and East Asia, the problem of aging and population expansion in Africa and Southeast Asia, to enhance the output value of agriculture and services, trade facilitation, the transition to a green economy.QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
The third major trend is that the world is more diversified, the power is no longer of any one country, but more scattered trend. U.S., EU, China, India, Brazil and other major influence, but not absolutely affect the medium-sized countries, non-state actors, cities play a very important role in global governance challenges. Governments must adjust its policy in response to these trends, the policy-making must be more inclusive.QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
European Commission to China and the Deputy Head of German - La Sala evaluate the report said, the development of China-EU relations to this day, extensive cooperation and reached a consensus, but they should also strive to reduce the differences and disagreements, then a great need to enhance understanding. The report discusses the future development trend and the trend of China-EU relations, is very timely and very important. She firmly believed that China-EU relations in the future still have a significant impact on the global situation, Therefore, to analyze China-EU relations is very important to understand its influence on the global pattern.QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
Foreign Associate Dean Zhu Liqun said, reporting on the development trend in the next two decades to explore, have an important impact on China-EU relations and the world situation. China and Europe are the two most important forces in the world, how to deal with both new development and changes, to strengthen policy coordination and deepen cooperation, this far-reaching impact on the construction of international order.QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
European Union Institute for Security Studies is under the direct leadership of the High Representative of the Council of the European Union's foreign policy think tank, where the European Security Strategy and the field of international security studies in the world to enjoy a higher status.QJeRainbow Mandarin 彩虹汉语
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