据英国《金融时报》中文版16日报道,菲律宾商界呼吁尽快解决菲中舰船在南中国海已延续一个月的对峙,警告持续政治僵局可能损害菲律宾旅游业,并使该国失去成千上万出口相关的就业岗位。
菲律宾商界发出这一警告之前,有迹象显示,这场对抗正开始产生经济影响,中国旅行社取消前往菲律宾的旅游团,中国还以食品安全为由,阻止菲律宾发运的香蕉进入中国。
“我们的潜在损失超过他们,”菲律宾出口商协会(Philippine Confederation of Exporters)会长塞尔吉奥 奥尔蒂斯 路易斯(Sergio Ortiz Luis)对当地电视台表示。
中国是菲律宾的第三大贸易伙伴,也是菲律宾增长最快的旅游客源国。
这些警告给菲律宾总统贝尼尼奥.阿基诺三世(Benigno Noynoy Aquino)带来更大压力,要求他找到这场争端的临时解决方案。争端始于上个月,当时菲律宾海军一艘军舰企图在菲律宾主岛吕宋岛以西大约120海里处的黄岩岛(Scarborough Shoal)附近海域扣留八艘中国渔船。
中国和菲律宾都宣称拥有黄岩岛的主权,而这只是南海众多领土纠纷之一。两国的外交部一直在试图平息紧张局势,但这一事件在两国都已引发强烈的民族主义言论。
“双方都有人希望事件升级,也都有人希望控制局面。很难判断哪一方占了上风。”中国人民大学的国际关系专家金灿荣表示。
上周晚些时候,中国与菲律宾恢复谈判。阿基诺周二表示,谈判正在产生积极的结果。“要说局面已得到解决,现在还为时过早,但我们正在这个方向上取得进展,”他在菲律宾南方发表讲话后对记者们表示。
那将受到菲律宾商界的热烈欢迎。菲律宾香蕉种植及出口企业协会(Pilipino Banana Growers and Exporters Association)警告称,如果该行业的第二大出口市场中国停止进口菲律宾香蕉,可能会有多达20万蕉农和配套服务工人失去生计。
中国南方航空公司(China Southern Airlines)已表示,计划减少5、6月份广州与马尼拉之间的航班,原因是中国旅行社取消了大量前往菲律宾的旅游团。上周马尼拉爆发小规模的反华抗议后,中国官方发布了一项旅游安全提示。
周三将迎来解决争端的一个机会,中国从这一天开始在南海部分海域(包括这一争端涉及的海域)实行年度休渔期。菲律宾表示,该国不承认中国的休渔规定,但将出台自己的休渔规定,以减缓当地渔业资源的快速枯竭。
理论上,休渔将降低紧张程度,因为双方的渔船都不得进入有争议的海域,但此举也可能产生相反的效果,因为两国官方的海监船很可能会在相关海域实施巡逻,以执行休渔规定。
“如果在休渔期间找不到通向解决方案的路径,那么下一个机会可能更加遥远,”暨南大学东南亚研究所教授张明亮表示。
According to the Chinese version on the 16th of the British "Financial Times", the Philippine business community called for as soon as possible to resolve the confrontation between the Philippines and ships in the South China Sea has been extended one month, warning that continued political stalemate could damage the Philippine tourism industry and the country lost thousands tens of thousands of export-related jobs.
There are indications that this confrontation is the economic impact the business community of the Philippines issued this warning before, Chinese travel agencies cancel tours to the Philippines, Chinese food safety grounds to prevent the shipment of bananas in the Philippines to enter China.
"Our potential loss of more than them," president of the Exporters Association of the Philippines (Philippine Confederation of Exporters) Sergio (Sergio Ortiz, Luis) the Aoao Erdi Si Louis, local television said.
China is the third largest trading partner of the Philippines, Philippines fastest-growing tourist source countries.
These warnings to bring greater pressure to the Philippine President Rafael Antonio Aquino III (Benigno Noynoy Aquino) asked him to find the temporary solution of the dispute. The dispute began last month, the Philippine Navy warship attempted in the Huangyan Island, the Philippine main island of Luzon, about 120 nautical miles west of Scarborough, of Shoal near the sea detained eight Chinese fishing vessels.
China and the Philippines claim sovereignty over the Huangyan Island, which is just one of the many South China Sea territorial disputes. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the two countries have been trying to calm tensions, but this event in both countries have lead to a strong nationalistic rhetoric.
Both sides hope that the escalation of incidents, but also there are people who want to control the situation is difficult to judge which side prevailed. "Said Jin Canrong, an international relations expert of the Chinese People's University.
Late last week, China and the Philippines to resume negotiations. Aquino said on Tuesday that the negotiations are to yield positive results. "Say the situation has been resolved, it is too early, but we are in this direction, progress," told reporters after his speech in the southern Philippines.
It will be a warm welcome to the business community in the Philippines. Philippine banana cultivation and export Enterprises Association (Pilipino the Banana Growers and Exporters Association) warning that if the industry's second-largest export market for China to stop the importation of Philippine bananas may be as many as 200 000 banana farmers and related service workers have lost their livelihoods.
China Southern Airlines (China Southern Airlines) has said it plans to reduce flights between Guangzhou and Manila in May and June, Chinese travel agencies canceled tours to the Philippines. Manila last week, small-scale anti-China protests broke out, the Chinese government issued a travel safety tips.
Wednesday will usher in an opportunity to resolve the dispute, From that day in parts of the ocean in the South China Sea (including the waters of this dispute involves) the implementation of the annual fishing moratorium. Philippines, said the country does not recognize the fishing moratorium provisions, but will be introduced to the fishing moratorium provisions to slow the rapid depletion of the local fishery resources.
In theory, the fishing ban will reduce the level of tension, because the two sides of fishing boats are not allowed to enter the disputed waters, but this may also have the opposite effect, because the ocean surveillance ship of the two official patrol may be implemented in the relevant area to perform The moratorium provisions.
"If you can not find the path that leads to solutions during the fishing moratorium, then the next opportunity may be more distant," Zhang Mingliang, a professor of the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies at Jinan University, said.